Reel Talk: 2016 SAG nominations

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Jillian Leiby, JagWire opinions editor

The Screen Actors Guild awards are Monday and it will be an interesting night. With Oscar nominees out (and already displeasing) it will be fun to watch how SAG responds, especially considering it actually nominated people that some wanted to be nominated for Oscars (Idris Elba, “Straight Outta Compton”).

Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Leading Role

Bryan Cranston, “Trumbo”

Johnny Depp, “Black Mass”

Leonardo DiCaprio, “The Revenant”

Michael Fassbender, “Steve Jobs”

Eddie Redmayne, “The Danish Girl”

Who will win: Leonardo DiCaprio

This was the one time Johnny Depp was actually considered for awards, despite media reports. It’s still DiCaprio’s to lose.

Outstanding Performance by a Female Actor in a Leading Role

Cate Blanchett, “Carol”

Brie Larson, “Room”

Helen Mirren, “Woman in Gold”

Saoirse Ronan, “Brooklyn”

Sarah Silverman, “I Smile Back”

Who will win: Brie Larson

Many could see Mirren and Silverman as the dark horses in this race; I consider them completely undeserving. (Mirren more so; “Woman in Gold” was not well-received.) This will be a huge step in cementing the Best Actress Oscar, so I see Larson going home for her performance in “Room.”

Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Supporting Role

Christian Bale, “The Big Short”

Idris Elba, “Beasts of No Nation”

Mark Rylance, “Bridge of Spies”

Michael Shannon, “99 Homes”

Jacob Tremblay, “Room”

Who will win: Unpredictable

Bale and Rylance are the only Oscar nominated actors on this list. And no Sylvester Stallone? I would like to see SAG giving it to one of the Oscar-snubbed actors, especially Elba and Tremblay (and SAG likes to award young actors). If not, actor’s actor Bale would get it.

Outstanding Performance by a Female Actor in a Supporting Role

Rooney Mara, “Carol”

Rachel McAdams, “Spotlight”

Helen Mirren, “Trumbo”

Alicia Vikander, “The Danish Girl”

Kate Winslet, “Steve Jobs”

Who will win: Unpredictable

Before the Golden Globes, I would have said this award and the Oscar was Mara’s to lose. Now, Winslet’s win has made her the unexpected fron-runner. Vikander could be the dark horse in this category. Whoever wins in this category can cement themselves for the Oscars.

Outstanding Performance by a Cast in a Motion Picture

“Beasts of No Nation”

“The Big Short”

“Spotlight”

“Straight Outta Compton”

“Trumbo”

Who will win: “The Big Short”

This category is filled with interesting ensemble casts. If the SAGs want to make a progressive message, they would give it to “Compton.” I don’t see them rocking the boat, so it’s between “Spotlight” and “The Big Short.” Both are critically acclaimed films with famous ensemble casts. I call “The Big Short” after its big Producer Guild Award win last week.

Award shows are changing; they’re becoming almost unpredictable. It’s terrible for a blog writer, but lovely for a viewer.

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